Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fortuna Sittard		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	7	5.25	1.4	Watch
	7.4	4.95	1.39
	6.74	5.38	1.39	Watch
	6	4.8	1.4
	6.9	5.2	1.42	Watch
	6.5	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.76 ↓ (8.24)	5.1 ↓ (5.47)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
14%

Draw
18.5%

PSV Eindhoven
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

17.1%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

16.2%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	13%	78.3%

Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). PSV will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 21. Kasanwirjo N. 44. Marquez I. 4. Adewoye S. 20. Michut E. 23. Brittijn P. 18. Limnios D. 70. Duijvestijn L. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.	32. Kovar M. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 22. Schouten J. (C) 3. Gasiorowski Y. 17. Mauro Junior 23. Veerman J. 10. Wanner P. 5. Perisic I. 20. Til G. 11. Driouech C. 19. Bajraktarevic E.
Substitutes
22. Bastien S. 19. Gladon P. 10. Halilovic A. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 47. Laoukili A. 25. Martens N. (G) 38. Schenkhuizen T. 6. van Ottele S.	31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 27. Man D. 38. Merien F. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 24. Schiks N. (G) 51. Smolenaars T. (G) 35. van den Berg J. 50. Verkooijen N.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Wanner P. ⚽, Sildillia K. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Sierhuis K. ⚽, Limnios D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Limnios D. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
57', Sildillia K. 🟨,
71', Peterson K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
71', Driouech C. ↓, Man D. ↑,
71', Bajraktarevic E. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Perisic I. ⚽, Mauro Junior (A),
81', Michut E. ↓, Schenkhuizen T. ↑,
82', Pinto I. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
82', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Halilovic A. ↑,
89', Wanner P. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
90+1', van Ottele S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.

Fortuna Sittard has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PSV is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSV is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Dahlhaus J. (Inactive) Hubner J. (Yellow Cards) Mendes H. (Inactive) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Muscle Injury) Olij N. (Groin Injury) Pepi R. (Broken Hand) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Saibari I. (International duty) Salah-Eddine A. (International duty) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Tunjic L. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:48. (average 0.8:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.2:2.5).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

PSV: 25.74% Sittard: 0.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19
6	Sittard	7	4	1	2	13:14	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLLL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	Den Bosch - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.01.26	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	5:1 ✺
21.12.25	Utrecht - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.25	PSV Eindhoven - GVVV	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	5:2
03.05.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	4:1
22.09.24	Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven	1:3
12.05.24	Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven	1:1
21.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	3:1
14.05.23	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:1
15.01.23	Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven	2:2

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