Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 30 December 2022, Friday

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)


	PSV Eindhoven		Milan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.8	3.5	2.15
	2.8	3.75	2.2
	2.8	3.87	2.16
	2.8	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.81	3.74	2.24	Watch
	2.8	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)	3.63 ↑ (3.21)	2.18 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
32.8%

Draw
25.2%

Milan
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

PSV Eindhoven - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Milan will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

PSV is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Milan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches PSV won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams PSV won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Sassuolo - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	PSV Eindhoven - Raków Częstochowa	4:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.11.22	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Bodø Glimt - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWW
- AC Milan
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Liverpool - Milan	4:1 ✺
13.12.22	Arsenal - Milan	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.11.22	Milan - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
08.11.22	Cremonese - Milan	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Milan - Spezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
28.08.13	Milan - PSV Eindhoven	3:0
20.08.13	PSV Eindhoven - Milan	1:1

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