Match Info

Date: 30 December 2020, Wednesday


	Empoli		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.44	4.25	7.5
	1.42	4.4	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.3	6.6
	1.45	4.55	8.1
	1.42	4.4	8
	1.44	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	4.43 ↑ (4.1)	7.56 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
66.2%

Draw
21.3%

Ascoli
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

19.4%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.6%	7.3%	6.1%

Empoli - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Empoli will win (71 of 82 users predict this - 86.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.21% – 93.97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Empoli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a good chance of promoted (53%), has a chance of win league (24%).

Ascoli has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Empoli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ascoli is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Empoli is absolute favorite.

In this match Empoli is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Empoli won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
27.12.20	Brescia - Empoli	1:3 ✺
22.12.20	Empoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Chievo - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Virtus Entella - Empoli	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTWW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.12.20	Ascoli - SPAL	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	Monza - Ascoli	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Vicenza Virtus - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
15.12.20	Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza	0:3 ✺
12.12.20	Cremonese - Ascoli	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.07.20	Ascoli - Empoli	1:0
07.12.19	Empoli - Ascoli	2:1
10.02.18	Ascoli - Empoli	1:2
16.09.17	Empoli - Ascoli	3:0
09.03.13	Ascoli - Empoli	1:2
14.10.12	Empoli - Ascoli	0:3
05.05.12	Ascoli - Empoli	N/A

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