The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monza 59.1%
Draw 24.4%
Ascoli 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.3%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
28.2%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ascoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Monza - Ascoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Monza has the most likely position - 5 (23.66%), has project points - 67, has currently - 57, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (86%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Ascoli has the most likely position - 7 (35.83%), has project points - 60, has currently - 52, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (78%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality38, importance34, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Now both teams are in good shape.
Ascoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Monza is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Monza to win the game is with odds 1.61.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
Watch
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