Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 11

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Empoli		Como

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.65
	2.78	3.05	2.72
	2.85	3.15	2.8
	2.83	3.11	2.77	Watch
	2.88	3	2.7
	2.95	3.11	2.82	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.67)	3.09 ↓ (3.22)	2.74 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
34%

Draw
31%

Como
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

30.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	24.5%	12.2%

Empoli - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 30 - 62.5%). Como will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 48.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 22. De Sciglio M. 34. Ismajli A. (C) 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 6. Henderson L. 32. Haas N. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Pezzella G. 17. Solbakken O. 9. Pellegri P.	25. Reina P. (C) 5. Goldaniga E. 13. Dossena A. 93. Barba F. 18. Moreno A. 26. Engelhardt Y. 2. Kempf M. O. 16. Fadera A. 33. Da Cunha L. 7. Strefezza G. 11. Belotti A.
Substitutes
8. Anjorin F. 98. Brancolini F. (G) 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L. 19. Ekong E. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L.	51. Andrealli F. 1. Audero E. (G) 17. Cerri A. 10. Cutrone P. 9. Gabrielloni A. 6. Iovine A. 15. Jack F. 14. Jasim A. 58. Mazzaglia G. 79. Paz N. 3. Sala M. 90. Verdi S.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Pellegri P. ⚽,
62', Strefezza G. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
62', Barba F. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
63', Solbakken O. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
76', Haas N. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
76', Pellegri P. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
77', Fadera A. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
78', Belotti A. ↓, Gabrielloni A. ↑,
84', Henderson L. ↓, Marianucci L. ↑,
84', Pezzella G. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
86', Da Cunha L. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
90+1', Cacace L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 15).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Esposito Se. (Injury) Goglichidze S. (Red Card)

There will not play in Como: Braunoder M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Empoli: Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Barba F. (Injury) Cerri A. (Injury) Roberto S. (Injury) Van der Brempt I. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
30.10.24	Empoli - Inter Milan	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Parma - Empoli	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Empoli - Napoli	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Empoli - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLT
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
31.10.24	Como - Lazio	1:5 ✺
25.10.24	Torino - Como	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Napoli - Como	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Como - Verona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLW

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