Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 7

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Lazio		Empoli

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	6	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.75
	1.58	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.63	4	6.27
	1.64	3.9	5.99	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.8
	1.64	4.19	6.05	Watch
	1.6	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.97 ↓ (4.13)	5.97 ↓ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
59.7%

Draw
24.2%

Empoli
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

25.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	9.7%	12.9%

Lazio - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Empoli will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 30. Tavares N. 8. Guendouzi M. 6. Rovella N. 18. Isaksen G. 19. Dia B. 10. Zaccagni M. (C) 11. Castellanos T.	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 10. Fazzini J. 5. Grassi A. (C) 8. Anjorin F. 3. Pezzella G. 99. Esposito Se. 17. Solbakken O.
Substitutes
22. Castrovilli G. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Gigot S. 35. Mandas C. (G) 77. Marusic A. 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 20. Tchaouna L.	98. Brancolini F. (G) 13. Cacace L. 29. Colombo L. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 32. Haas N. 6. Henderson L. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 9. Pellegri P. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L.
Coaches
Baroni M.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Esposito Se. ⚽, Pezzella G. (A),
29', Pezzella G. 🟨,
31', Fazzini J. 🟨,
38', Lazzari M. ↓, Marusic A. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 1, Zaccagni M. ⚽, Tavares N. (A),
45+5', Rovella N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Castellanos T. (Pen),
53', Castellanos T. 🟨,
53', Pezzella G. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
65', Anjorin F. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
65', Fazzini J. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
73', Isaksen G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
78', Gyasi E. 🟨,
82', Grassi A. 🟨,
83', Esposito Se. ↓, De Sciglio M. ↑,
83', Solbakken O. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Castellanos T. (A),
86', Dia B. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
86', Tavares N. ↓, Pellegrini Lu. ↑,
87', Zaccagni M. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Empoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Gigot S. (Shoulder Injury) Patric (Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) Fazzini J. (Hip Injury) Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Lazio to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lazio won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:10 (average 1.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:5 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Lazio - Nice	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Torino - Lazio	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Fiorentina - Lazio	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Lazio - Verona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
29.09.24	Empoli - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Torino - Empoli	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.24	Cagliari - Empoli	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Empoli - Juventus	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Bologna - Empoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.05.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:0
22.12.23	Empoli - Lazio	0:2
03.06.23	Empoli - Lazio	0:2
08.01.23	Lazio - Empoli	2:2
06.01.22	Lazio - Empoli	3:3
21.08.21	Empoli - Lazio	1:3
07.02.19	Lazio - Empoli	1:0

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