Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Football
Albania	12:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	07:30	ESPN
Armenia	14:30	Fast Sports
Australia	21:30	beIN Sports 2
Azerbaijan	14:30	CBC Sport
Belgium	12:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:30	Arena Premium 2
Bulgaria	13:30	Max Sport 3
Croatia	12:30	Arena Sport 1
Czech Republic	12:30	Sport 1
Denmark	12:30	TV2 Play
Finland	13:30	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Germany	12:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Greece	13:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	12:30	Arena 4
Iran	14:00	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	13:30	Sport 1
Italy	12:30	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Kosovo	12:30	ART Motion Sport 3
Mexico	04:30	ESPN
Netherlands	12:30	Ziggo Sport
Norway	12:30	VG+
Poland	12:30	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	11:30	Sport TV2
Romania	13:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 5
Russia	13:30	MATCH! Futbol 1, Okko Sport
Serbia	12:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	12:30	Arena Sport 4
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	12:30	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Tanzania	13:30	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	13:30	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	13:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	11:30	TNT Sports 3
Usa	06:30	CBS, Paramount+
International	10:30	Disney+, Onefootball app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Empoli		Napoli

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.67	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.66
	5.9	3.7	1.62	Watch
	5.9	3.8	1.7
	5.82	3.73	1.68	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.67
	5.89	3.95	1.69	Watch
	6	3.75	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (5.44)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
16.6%

Draw
25.7%

Napoli
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.6%

25.4%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

24.4%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	10.8%	79.7%

Empoli - Napoli Predictions

Users Predictions: Napoli will win (59 of 74 users predict this - 79.73%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.57% – 88.89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 8. Anjorin F. 5. Grassi A. (C) 10. Fazzini J. 3. Pezzella G. 99. Esposito Se. 29. Colombo L.	25. Caprile E. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 4. Buongiorno A. 37. Spinazzola L. 99. Anguissa F. 6. Gilmour B. 8. McTominay S. 21. Politano M. 77. Kvaratskhelia K. 11. Lukaku R.
Substitutes
98. Brancolini F. (G) 13. Cacace L. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 32. Haas N. 6. Henderson L. 90. Konate I. 35. Marianucci L. 9. Pellegri P. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 17. Solbakken O. 31. Tosto L.	14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 90. Folorunsho M. 5. Juan Jesus 16. Marin R. 30. Mazzocchi P. 26. Ngonge C. 17. Olivera M. 81. Raspadori G. 18. Simeone G. 12. Turi C. (G) 23. Zerbin A.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Conte A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Grassi A. 🟨,
37', Anguissa F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
59', Spinazzola L. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Kvaratskhelia K. (Pen),
72', Grassi A. ↓, Solbakken O. ↑,
76', Di Lorenzo G. 🟨,
76', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, David Neres ↑,
78', Goglichidze S. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
79', Anjorin F. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
79', Fazzini J. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
86', Colombo L. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
86', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
90+6', Haas N. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Empoli won 3.

Recent matches Empoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napoli in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Napoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Napoli is a favorite.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury)

There will not play in Napoli: Lobotka S. (Thigh Injury) Meret A. (Muscle Injury) Rui M. (Coach's decision)

There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) Maleh Y. (Injury) Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Empoli won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:31 (average 1.5:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Empoli won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:12 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
06.10.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Empoli - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Torino - Empoli	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.24	Cagliari - Empoli	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Empoli - Juventus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LTWWT
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
04.10.24	Napoli - Como	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Napoli - Monza	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
26.09.24	Napoli - Palermo	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.24	Juventus - Napoli	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Cagliari - Napoli	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.04.24	Empoli - Napoli	1:0
12.11.23	Napoli - Empoli	0:1
25.02.23	Empoli - Napoli	0:2
08.11.22	Napoli - Empoli	2:0
24.04.22	Empoli - Napoli	3:2
12.12.21	Napoli - Empoli	0:1
Coppa Italia
13.01.21	Napoli - Empoli	3:2

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