Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Parma		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.25
	2.18	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.22	3.5	3.44
	2.21	3.44	3.44	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.24	3.6	3.44	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.04)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	3.35 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
43.7%

Draw
27.8%

Empoli
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66%	14%	20%

Parma - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 33 - 68.8%). Empoli will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 55.7% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 15. Del Prato E. (C) 4. Balogh B. 14. Valeri E. 10. Bernabe A. 27. Hernani 98. Man D. 19. Sohm S. 22. Cancellieri M. 13. Bonny A.	23. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 2. Goglichidze S. 34. Ismajli A. 21. Viti M. 11. Gyasi E. 10. Fazzini J. 5. Grassi A. (C) 8. Anjorin F. 3. Pezzella G. 17. Solbakken O. 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 7. Benedyczak A. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 1. Chichizola L. (G) 40. Corvi E. (G) 77. Di Chiara G. 8. Estevez N. 20. Hainaut A. 61. Haj Mohamed A. 16. Keita M. 46. Leoni G. 28. Mihaila V. 5. Valenti L.	16. Belardinelli L. 98. Brancolini F. (G) 13. Cacace L. 22. De Sciglio M. 19. Ekong E. 32. Haas N. 6. Henderson L. 90. Konate I. 93. Maleh Y. 35. Marianucci L. 9. Pellegri P. 7. Sambia J. 12. Seghetti J. (G) 31. Tosto L.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	D'Aversa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Del Prato E. 🟨,
20', Anjorin F. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Coulibaly W. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Man D. ↓, Charpentier G. ↑,
50', Hernani 🟨,
55', Hernani ↓, Keita M. ↑,
55', Cancellieri M. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
67', Ismajli A. 🟨,
69', Anjorin F. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
69', Colombo L. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
71', Grassi A. 🟨,
80', Grassi A. ↓, Maleh Y. ↑,
80', Fazzini J. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Charpentier G. ⚽, Valeri E. (A),
82', Vasquez Llach D. S. 🟨,
83', Bonny A. (Pen),
84', Bonny A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
84', Bernabe A. ↓, Mihaila V. ↑,
88', Solbakken O. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
90+1', Balogh B. 🟨,
90+2', Pellegri P. 🟨,
90+4', Sohm S. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 1.

Parma is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Empoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Empoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Parma will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Ebuehi T. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Benedyczak A. (Ankle Injury) Circati A. (Knee Injury) Estevez N. (Muscle Injury) Kowalski M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Empoli: Belardinelli L. (Injury) Maleh Y. (Injury) Perisan S. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Parma won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:16 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
19.10.24	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Bologna - Parma	0:0 ✺
30.09.24	Parma - Cagliari	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Lecce - Parma	2:2 ✺
16.09.24	Parma - Udinese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLTL
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie A
20.10.24	Empoli - Napoli	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Lazio - Empoli	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Empoli - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Torino - Empoli	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.24	Cagliari - Empoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.09.20	Parma - Empoli	0:2
Italian Serie A
02.03.19	Empoli - Parma	3:3
30.09.18	Parma - Empoli	1:0
Italian Serie B
17.02.18	Empoli - Parma	4:0
19.09.17	Parma - Empoli	1:2
Club Friendly
18.08.17	Parma - Empoli	1:1
Italian Serie A
19.04.15	Empoli - Parma	2:2

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