Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.65
	2.68	2.88	2.88	Watch
	2.99	2.9	2.74
				Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.88	2.86	2.69	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	2.72 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
33.2%

Draw
32.6%

Fortaleza CEIF
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

33.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 2. Palacios D. 36. Murillo B. 6. Palacio J. 21. Lopez E. (C) 31. Berrio F. 26. Arcila D. 80. Torres C. 11. Garces J.	1. Garcia Jordan (G) 5. Cabezas E. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 20. Valencia S. 27. Mosquera C. 14. Pico L. 13. Pajaro R. (C) 16. Florez K. 8. Ricaurte A. 19. Aristizabal E.
Substitutes
20. Catano J. 7. Dawson D. 3. Holguin J. 18. Hurtado W. 9. Londono E. 22. Mendoza J. (G) 39. Palomino J. 27. Quejada J. 16. Ramirez N.	11. Amaya A. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 15. Cuero S. 23. Escorcia L. 7. Martinez J. 22. Palacios S. 12. Santander C. (G)
Coaches
Orozco A.	Oliveros S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
38', Torres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ricaurte A. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
61', Torres C. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
70', Mosquera C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
73', Lopez E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
73', Garces J. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
78', Murillo B. 🟨,
84', Florez K. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
86', Londono S. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Aristizabal E. ⚽, Valencia S. (A),
90+1', Aristizabal E. 🟨,
90+2', Berrio F. ↓, Dawson D. ↑,
90+3', Valencia S. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
90+3', Amaya A. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,

Preview

Envigado is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fortaleza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Envigado won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Alianza Valledupar - Envigado	3:3 ✺
07.06.25	Envigado - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.05.25	Envigado - Llaneros SA	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWL
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Leones	1:1 ✺
02.06.25	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
28.01.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Envigado	0:0
03.08.24	Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1
04.02.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Envigado	1:1

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