The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzgebirge Aue 31%
Draw 27.4%
Hannover 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
27.5%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
27.9%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Hannover Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
Aue has the most likely position - 18 (51.88%), has project points - 24, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of promoted.
Hannover has the most likely position - 14 (26.06%), has project points - 40, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has not chance of promoted.
This event has small quality26, small importance10, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 1.
Aue is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Hannover has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Hannover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Aue won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
Watch
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