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Current Win Probability
Paderborn 62.2%
Draw 21.3%
Erzgebirge Aue 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
25.7%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paderborn's performance.
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Paderborn - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
Paderborn has the most likely position - 8 (13.86%), has project points - 48, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Aue has the most likely position - 18 (62.19%), has project points - 25, has currently - 15, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality27, very small importance9, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 0.
Recent matches Paderborn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aue has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Paderborn is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
Watch
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