Match Info

Date: 31 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Erzgebirge Aue		Mainz

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.33	Watch
	8.25	5.5	1.3
	8	5	1.34
	7.8	5.2	1.33
	8.78	5.35	1.33
	9.5	5	1.32
	8.5	5.45	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.48 ↑ (5.7)	5.25 ↑ (4.41)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
11.1%

Draw
17.9%

Mainz
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

21.3%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzgebirge Aue's form might have worsened.

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mainz's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Erzgebirge Aue - Mainz Predictions

Users Predictions: Mainz will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mainz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mainz is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aue won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
24.07.22	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.22	Meuselwitz - Erzgebirge Aue	2:3 ✺
02.07.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Lokomotive Leipzig	4:0 ✺
26.06.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Berliner AK 07	4:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.05.22	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWW
- Mainz 05
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Mainz - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
18.07.22	Mainz - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
15.07.22	Beşiktaş - Mainz	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.05.22	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
07.05.22	Hertha Berlin - Mainz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
18.08.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Mainz	1:3
30.10.12	Mainz - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0

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