Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Erzgebirge Aue		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.33
	1.77	3.5	4
	1.76	4.02	4.42
	1.74	3.85	4.32	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.74	3.69	4.44	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.67 ↓ (3.69)	4.22 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
52.9%

Draw
25.2%

Unterhaching
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Erzgebirge Aue - Unterhaching Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannel M. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 23. Barylla A. 19. Hoffmann T. 29. Rosenlocher L. 30. Loune A. 10. Pepic M. 8. Clausen M. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. 15. Bar M.	24. Eisele K. (G) 23. Schwabl M. (C) 34. Knipping T. 15. Obermeier T. 33. Hennig M. 8. Stiefler M. 39. Waidner D. 30. Skarlatidis S. 29. Popp L. 17. Torsiello F. 14. Ihorst L.
Substitutes
21. Burghardt M. 20. Fabisch J. 26. Jakob K. 18. Kallenbach W. 25. Kips T. (G) 24. Nkansah S. 39. Schmid M. 7. Seitz S. 11. Sijaric O.	26. Breuer A. 5. Geis J. 1. Heide K. (G) 25. Jastremski L. 9. Kugel J. 3. Lamby M. 7. Littig R. 4. Schlicke B. 11. Winklbauer T.
Coaches
Hartel J.	Herrlich H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Stefaniak M. ⚽, Pepic M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Popp L. ↓, Jastremski L. ↑,
68', Hoffmann T. ↓, Nkansah S. ↑,
68', Tashchy B. ↓, Jakob K. ↑,
68', Skarlatidis S. ↓, Geis J. ↑,
77', Ihorst L. ↓, Kugel J. ↑,
83', Clausen M. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
84', Stefaniak M. ↓, Sijaric O. ↑,
87', Hennig M. ↓, Lamby M. ↑,
90+4', Fallmann P. ↓, Burghardt M. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Aue is a favorite.

There will not play in Aue: Bornschein R. (Injury) Majetschak E. (Muscle Injury) Schmid M. (Personal Reasons)

There will not play in Unterhaching: Mashigo B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Unterhaching: Geis J. (Injury) Maier S. (Illness) Ortel N. (Illness)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aue won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
15.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Hannover II - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLTL
- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
16.02.25	Unterhaching - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Unterhaching - Osnabrück	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Ingolstadt - Unterhaching	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.24	Unterhaching - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2
20.04.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Unterhaching	2:1
11.11.23	Unterhaching - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0
Club Friendly
14.01.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Unterhaching	2:3

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