Match Info

CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)

Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Tunisia	Watania 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz


	Espérance ST		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.92	2.98	4.45
	2	2.95	4.43
	1.8	3.12	5.21	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4.2
	1.94	3.05	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)	4.48 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espérance ST
48.3%

Draw
31.1%

Mamelodi Sundowns
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

30.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

28.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Espérance ST will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ben Said B. (G) 23. Keita I. 6. Jelassi H. 15. Tougai M. 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 14. Ogbelu O. 10. Yan Sasse 8. Tka H. 21. Konate A. 7. Boualia K. 22. Danho F.	30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 4. Mokoena T. 24. Cupido K. 29. Lunga D. 8. Adams J. 20. Kekana G. 11. Allende M. 27. Morena T. 9. Arthur Sales 12. Leon B.
Substitutes
2. Ben Ali M. 29. Diakite A. 34. Diarra J. 37. Drager M. 27. Guenichi K. 39. Haj Ali M. 19. Jabri A. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 24. Rafia H.	15. Aubaas B. J. 23. Basadien F. 17. Matthews T. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 3. Ndamane K. 34. Ntsabeleng T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 13. Rayners I. 18. Zwane T.
Coaches
Beaumelle P.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Leon B. ⚽, Morena T. (A),
63', Boualia K. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
63', Yan Sasse ↓, Diarra J. ↑,
70', Jelassi H. 🟨,
72', Arthur Sales ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
73', Williams R. 🟨,
76', Allende M. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
81', Tka H. ↓, Haj Ali M. ↑,
84', Kekana G. 🟥,
88', Leon B. ↓, Mdunyelwa Z. ↑,
88', Morena T. ↓, Ndamane K. ↑,
90+1', Konate A. ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
90+5', Mudau K. 🟨,
90+5', Beaumelle P. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 2.

Espérance ST is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mamelodi Sundowns is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Espérance ST could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
21.03.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Espérance ST	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Espérance ST - Al Ahly Cairo	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.03.26	Espérance ST - Marsa	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Olympique Béja - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWWW
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
07.04.26	Durban City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Chippa United	4:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
22.03.26	Stade Malien - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
17.03.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants	3:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
13.03.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stade Malien	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
08.04.25	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
01.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:0
26.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	0:1
20.04.24	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0
21.06.17	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0
02.06.17	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:2

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