Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Espanyol		Castellón

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	8	Watch
	1.5	3.8	7
	1.5	3.8	7	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6.8
	1.52	4.04	7.96
	1.47	3.75	8	Watch
	1.51	4.05	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	3.85 ↓ (3.96)	7.41 ↓ (7.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
62.8%

Draw
24.5%

Castellón
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

23.7%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.6%

20.2%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espanyol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.4%	5.3%	5.3%

Espanyol - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (101 of 113 users predict this - 89.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.7% – 95.06%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Espanyol has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a good chance of promoted (92%), has a good chance of win league (64%).

Castellón has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Espanyol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Castellón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Espanyol have a series of guest games.

In this match Espanyol is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Espanyol to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Burgos - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.21	Las Palmas - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Espanyol - Almería	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Llagostera - Espanyol	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	UD Logroñés - Espanyol	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- CD Castellón
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Castellón - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.21	Castellón - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
19.12.20	Sabadell - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	San Fernando - Castellón	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.20	Castellón - Albacete Balompié	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWW

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