Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Espanyol		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	7.5	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6.75
	1.55	3.5	7.3	Watch
	1.51	3.65	7
	1.54	3.79	8.36
	1.53	3.6	7	Watch
	1.56	3.82	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	3.64 ↑ (3.55)	7.24 ↑ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
61.1%

Draw
25.9%

Ponferradina
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

26.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

15.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espanyol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	3.3%	26.7%

Espanyol - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 53.6% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga and 8).

Espanyol has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a good chance of promoted (89%), has a good chance of win league (69%).

Ponferradina has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Espanyol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Espanyol is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.20	Tenerife - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
21.10.20	Espanyol - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Espanyol - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Sabadell - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.20	Sporting de Gijón - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Ponferradina - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	Ponferradina - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	Mirandés - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Ponferradina - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLWW

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