The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estepona 35.4%
Draw 30.2%
Águilas 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
31%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
30.6%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Estepona - Águilas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 1 - 1, Herrero A. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, Scepovic S. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Estepona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Águilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Estepona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
CD Estepona
5
2
1
2
7:7
0
7
Last Results with these Odds
Estepona - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.38%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Águilas - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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