Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Estoril Praia		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.2	4.25
	1.85	3.2	4.1
	1.95	3.1	4.1
	2	3.23	4.44
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.92	3.24	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)	3.21 ↓ (3.31)	4.13 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
48.5%

Draw
29%

Académica Coimbra
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

17.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril Praia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académica Coimbra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	16%	24%

Estoril Praia - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Académica will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga (Promotion)).

Recent matches Estoril is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Académica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Estoril have a series of guest games.

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Estoril won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
02.02.21	Arouca - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
27.01.21	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	1:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
24.01.21	Mafra - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
18.01.21	Estoril Praia - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTTW
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
26.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Benfica B - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
11.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	1:0 ✺
05.01.21	Arouca - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
20.09.20	Académica Coimbra - Estoril Praia	1:0
18.01.20	Estoril Praia - Académica Coimbra	1:0
24.02.19	Estoril Praia - Académica Coimbra	1:0
07.10.18	Académica Coimbra - Estoril Praia	2:7
Taça de Portugal
17.01.17	Estoril Praia - Académica Coimbra	2:1
Liga Portugal
20.03.16	Académica Coimbra - Estoril Praia	0:3
06.11.15	Estoril Praia - Académica Coimbra	1:1

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