Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Mafra		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.05	3.15	2.2
	3.25	3.05	2.2
	3.41	3.27	2.31
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.24	3.16	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	3.1 (3.1)	2.23 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
28.4%

Draw
29.9%

Estoril Praia
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.9%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mafra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mafra - Estoril Praia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga).

Mafra is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estoril in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Estoril will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.21	Arouca - Mafra	0:0 ✺
11.01.21	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	1:0 ✺
03.01.21	Mafra - Chaves	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Mafra - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
15.12.20	Sporting Lisbon - Mafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLTL
- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
18.01.21	Estoril Praia - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.01.21	Chaves - Estoril Praia	0:2 ✺
04.01.21	Estoril Praia - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
30.12.20	Casa Pia - Estoril Praia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.19	Mafra - Estoril Praia	3:1
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Mafra - Estoril Praia	1:0
Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.19	Mafra - Estoril Praia	1:1
23.09.18	Estoril Praia - Mafra	1:4
Club Friendly
29.07.15	Mafra - Estoril Praia	Canceled

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