Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio dos Barreiros (Funchal)

Referee: Mota M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Marítimo		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.87
	2.38	2.9	3.15
	2.55	3	2.9
	2.72	3.04	3.03
	2.55	2.9	3
	2.61	2.95	2.95	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.57)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	2.97 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
36.7%

Draw
31.6%

Estoril Praia
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	54.2%	29.2%

Marítimo - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Estoril will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 13).

Marítimo has the most likely position - 17 (38.85%), has project points - 28, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Estoril has the most likely position - 13 (9.33%), has project points - 41, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 41, importance 36, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Marítimo have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
14.01.23	Vizela - Marítimo	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
23.12.22	Rio Ave - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
13.12.22	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
07.12.22	Farense - Marítimo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LWTLL
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
16.01.23	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Arouca - Estoril Praia	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
15.12.22	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
06.12.22	Estoril Praia - Torreense	2:2 ✺
01.12.22	Académico de Viseu - Estoril Praia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
05.02.22	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	0:0
27.08.21	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	2:1
Taça de Portugal
27.01.21	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	1:3 ET
Portuguese League Cup
29.12.18	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	0:1
Liga Portugal
07.04.18	Estoril Praia - Marítimo	1:1
26.11.17	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
01.09.17	Marítimo - Estoril Praia	1:0

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