The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Clara 42.4%
Draw 30.3%
Estoril Praia 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
30.1%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
31.9%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
25%
31.2%
Santa Clara - Estoril Praia Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Estoril (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 21. Venancio F. 94. Silva H. 23. Lima S. 2. Diogo Calila 35. Serginho 77. Gustavo Klismahn 8. Ferreira P. 42. Lucas Soares 11. Brenner 10. Gabriel Silva
1. Robles J. (G) 44. Boma K. 25. Bacher F. 24. Amaral P. 2. Sanchez R. 21. Pizzi 10. Holsgrove J. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 99. Guitane R. 9. Marques A. 14. Begraoui Y.
Substitutes
69. Costa M. 80. Duarte T. 12. Neneca (G) 4. Pacheco P. 39. Paciencia G. 64. Paulo Victor 65. Tavares J. 49. Welinton Torrao 29. Wendell
22. Carvalho P. 20. Costa G. 11. Edwards K. 4. Ferro 7. Lominadze N. 70. Peixinho 5. Tsoungui A. 16. Turk M. (G) 8. Xeka
Coaches
Matos V.
Cathro I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
31', Diogo Calila 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Begraoui Y. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Venancio F. 🟨,
39', Ferreira P. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Marques A. ⚽, Pizzi (A),
45+4', Amaral P. 🟨,
45+4', Brenner 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Wendell ↑,
46', Brenner ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
46', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Diogo Calila ⚽, Serginho (A),
54', Robles J. 🟨,
56', Serginho 🟨,
60', Boma K. 🟨,
61', Pizzi ↓, Costa G. ↑,
61', Amaral P. ↓, Ferro ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Gabriel Silva ⚽, Welinton Torrao (A),
73', Silva H. 🟨,
74', 2 - 3, Guitane R. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
88', Silva H. ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
88', Diogo Calila ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Begraoui Y. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Sanchez R. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
89', Marques A. ↓, Xeka ↑,
90+4', Begraoui Y. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 3.
Recent form of Santa Clara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Estoril is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Santa Clara could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Santa Clara: Rocha L.
(Yellow Cards)
Vinicius Lopes
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Estoril: Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
Lacximicant A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).