The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estoril Praia 50.4%
Draw 26.7%
Moreirense 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.3%
25.3%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
24.6%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Estoril Praia - Moreirense Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Moreirense (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Estoril Praia will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Ferro 6. Sintes X. 21. Jurisic R. 5. Tsoungui A. 10. Holsgrove J. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 99. Guitane R. 9. Camblan A. 11. Omerovic N.
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. (C) 66. Batista G. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 27. Kiko 23. John N. 65. Guilherme Liberato 10. Bondoso K. 7. Mendonca M. 19. Andrade T. 79. Vonic L.
Substitutes
35. Amissah S. 25. Andreou S. 42. Arnolin J. 22. Carvalho P. 7. Lacximicant A. 3. Medrano F. 19. Parente T. 17. Peixinho 44. Robin M. 15. Sierra I. 16. Turk M. (G) 8. Xeka
1. Aranha (G) 25. Assis A. 32. Janderson 11. Landerson 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri 12. Sampaio F. (G) 2. Santos L. 28. Songa C. 8. Stjepanovic M. 99. Yan Maranhao
Coaches
Pires L.
Costa V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Mendonca M. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Andrade T. ⚽,
23', Omerovic N. 🟨,
27', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
28', 0 - 3, John N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
46', Omerovic N. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
58', Carvalho J. ↓, Peixinho ↑,
58', Camblan A. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
59', Mendonca M. ↓, Rodri ↑,
69', John N. ↓, Landerson ↑,
69', Tsoungui A. ↓, Xeka ↑,
69', Kiko ↓, Stjepanovic M. ↑,
80', Andrade T. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
81', Vonic L. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
90', Batista G. 🟨,
90+2', Lacximicant A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Peixinho ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 0.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Moreirense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Estoril holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Estoril: Garcia F.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Moreirense: Maracas
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Estoril: Andreou S.
(Inactive)
Begraoui Y.
(Inactive)
Xeka
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Moreirense: Duville-Parsemain A.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Estoril has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:23 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Estoril against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).