Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estoril Praia		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.55	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.8	6.25
	1.58	3.79	6.25
	1.5	3.8	5.8
	1.58	3.75	6.15
	1.59	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	3.78 ↑ (3.36)	5.7 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
59.2%

Draw
24.5%

Mafra
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estoril Praia's performance.

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Estoril Praia - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mafra will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Figueira Daniel (G) 78. Araujo T. 2. Parra R. 23. Alvaro P. 3. Vital B. 21. Gomes R. 82. Fernandes M. 8. Holsgrove J. 91. Heriberto Tavares 9. Marques A. 33. Marques J.	1. Andre Paulo (G) 15. Guilherme 5. Pedro Barcelos 19. Diao O. 66. Bak Jensen V. 27. Diga 6. Bravo P. 80. Balburdia M. 7. Dju M. 9. Almeida D. 8. Gabriel L.
Substitutes
11. Cassiano 24. Dicke F. 10. Guitane R. 20. Joao Carlos 83. Koindredi K. 22. Mangala E. 31. Marcelo Carne (G) 79. Pina W. 6. Soares A. 5. Volnei Feltes	3. Chriso 17. de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. 22. Gabriel Passos 70. Lind J. 77. Matos R. 11. Moreno J. 16. Olafsson E. (G) 18. Sturgeon F. 44. Texel P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estoril is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
10.11.23	Estoril Praia - Casa Pia	4:0 ✺
03.11.23	Porto - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Portimonense - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Sintrense - Estoril Praia	0:5 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.10.23	Estoril Praia - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.9 WWLWL
- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Mafra - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Torreense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Mafra - Leixões	0:1 ✺
27.10.23	Penafiel - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Mafra - Feirense	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
20.05.21	Estoril Praia - Mafra	1:0
24.01.21	Mafra - Estoril Praia	1:1
08.12.19	Mafra - Estoril Praia	3:1
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Mafra - Estoril Praia	1:0
Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.19	Mafra - Estoril Praia	1:1
23.09.18	Estoril Praia - Mafra	1:4
Club Friendly
29.07.15	Mafra - Estoril Praia	Canceled

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