Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Tallaght Stadium (Dublin)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Shamrock Rovers		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.55	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.66	3.3	2.13
	3.42	3.04	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.63	3.35	2.14	Watch
	3.16	3.16	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.09)	3.19 ↑ (3.13)	2.13 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamrock Rovers
27.2%

Draw
29.1%

Santa Clara
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.3%	16.2%	59.5%

Shamrock Rovers - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Santa Clara (votes: 14 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Santa Clara (4.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Santa Clara (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Santa Clara (4.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Santa Clara (votes: 19 - 73.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGinty E. (G) 6. Cleary D. 4. Lopes R. (C) 5. Grace L. 21. Grant D. 7. Watts D. 17. Healy M. 15. Nugent D. 2. Honohan J. 20. Gaffney R. 14. Mandroiu D.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Lima S. 13. Rocha L. 32. MT 2. Diogo Calila 35. Serginho 6. Adriano Firmino 64. Paulo Victor 11. Brenner 29. Wendell 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
22. Barrett C. 10. Burke G. 9. Greene A. 11. Kavanagh S. 3. Matthews A. 8. McEneff A. 88. McGovern J. 31. Noonan M. 16. O'Neill G. 27. O'Sullivan C. 36. Ozhianvuna V. 25. Steacy L. (G)	50. Afonso J. (G) 17. Costa J. 7. Elias Manoel 8. Ferreira P. 10. Gabriel Silva 42. Lucas Soares 3. Matheus Pereira 12. Neneca (G) 16. Pires M. 21. Venancio F.
Coaches
Bradley S.	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Wendell 🟨,
30', Grace L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Rocha L. 🟨,
61', Paulo Victor ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
61', Nugent D. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
61', Wendell ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
63', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
66', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
72', Gaffney R. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
75', Rocha L. ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
75', Brenner ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
76', Diogo Calila ↓, Lucas Soares ↑,
82', Watts D. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
88', Serginho 🟨,
90+6', Gabriel Batista 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Shamrock is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santa Clara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santa Clara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shamrock won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Santa Clara - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.08.25	Shamrock Rovers - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Shamrock Rovers - Ballkani	4:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
10.08.25	Galway United - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Ballkani - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWTL
- CD Santa Clara
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Santa Clara - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.08.25	Santa Clara - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Santa Clara - Larne	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.08.25	Famalicão - Santa Clara	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Larne - Santa Clara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Santa Clara - Shamrock Rovers	1:2

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