The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alverca 73.9%
Draw 16.3%
Portimonense 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.6%
22.1%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
21%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca's performance.
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alverca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
0%
9.1%
Alverca - Portimonense Predictions
Users Predictions:
Alverca will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alverca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 5. Varela F. 6. Velazquez S. 36. Thauan Lara 40. Ageu E. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 10. Andrezinho 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner 9. Carter A.
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 21. Heitor 43. Alemao 38. Jefferson Maciel 29. Ruan 42. Diaby M. 81. Ferreira D. 11. Paulo V. (C) 28. Duran C. 9. Monteiro T. 23. Djassi D.
Substitutes
3. Alysson 20. Bukia A. 25. Dias R. 89. Joao Marcos 4. Mendonca I. 14. Pereira R. 16. Pires M. 12. Reinaldo 23. Silva P. (G)
92. Alegria J. 99. Benedict E. 35. Joao Neto 19. John K. 83. Kait K. 30. Kim Yong-Hak 97. Moyo M. 22. Omrani S. 98. Tear J. P. (G)
Coaches
Costa V.
Pessoa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Alemao 🟨,
10', Alemao 🟨,
12', Monteiro T. ↓, John K. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, David Bruno ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Duran C. ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Varela F. ⚽, Carter A. (A),
69', David Bruno ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
69', Martins D. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
70', Paulo V. ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
71', Diaby M. ↓, Omrani S. ↑,
71', Djassi D. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
78', Joao Bravim ↓, Silva P. ↑,
78', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
82', 2 - 1, John K. ⚽,
90+2', Brenner ↓, Alysson ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 15).
Alverca is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Portimonense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Alverca is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Watch
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Joao Bravim (G) 
David Bruno 
Varela F. 
Velazquez S. 
Carter A. 
Diaby M. 
Duran C. 
Djassi D. 
Bukia A. 
Benedict E. 
Kait K. 
Kim Yong-Hak 
Moyo M. 
Omrani S. 
Tear J. P. (G) 
