Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	TVI Player, TVI


	Moreirense		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.1	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.05	4.15	Watch
	1.99	3.29	4.65
	2.11	3.13	3.68	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.18	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.14)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)	3.96 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
46.3%

Draw
29.9%

Alverca
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29.7%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	33.3%	6.7%

Moreirense - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Alverca (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alverca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caio (G) 76. Pinto D. 26. Maracas 44. Marcelo (C) 27. Kiko 8. Stjepanovic M. 80. Ofori L. 10. Kiko Bondoso 11. Alanzinho 7. Teguia C. 95. Guilherme Schettine	13. Gomes A. (G) 4. Naves (C) 14. Baseya S. 33. Meupiyou B. 22. Esteves G. 16. Mendes T. 8. Amorim 12. James I. 11. Nuozzi C. 9. Marezi 10. Chiquinho
Substitutes
25. Assis A. 66. Batista G. 20. Bernardo 13. Ferreira A. (G) 19. Jorquera Romero J. 17. Martinez A. 16. Mika (G) 21. Rodri 99. Yan Maranhao	21. Abdulai S. 28. Cabezas G. 25. Diarra S. 19. Leite T. 88. Martins D. 23. Paulo A. (G) 91. Sandro Lima 34. Talisca 2. Touaizi N.
Coaches
Costa V.	Custodio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Ofori L. (A),
29', Mendes T. 🟨,
43', Pinto D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Marezi (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Kiko Bondoso 🟨,
62', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
62', Teguia C. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
70', Marcelo 🟨,
73', Ofori L. ↓, Rodri ↑,
74', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
74', Nuozzi C. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
82', Mendes T. ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
83', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
88', Chiquinho ↓, Leite T. ↑,
88', Esteves G. ↓, Touaizi N. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Yan Maranhao ⚽, Pinto D. (A),

Preview

Moreirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moreirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Alverca: Sandro Lima (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Moreirense - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Moreirense - Chaves	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Moreirense - Lusitânia	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	AVS - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
11.05.25	Moreirense - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWT
- FC Alverca
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Alverca - Amora	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.25	Alverca - Portimonense	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Tondela - Alverca	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Alverca - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
29.04.25	Chaves - Alverca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWW

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