The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Braga 56.3%
Draw 23.5%
Estrela da Amadora 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
22%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
20.7%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Braga - Estrela da Amadora Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 15. Oliveira P. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 2. Gomez V. 90. Luisinho 8. Moutinho J. 77. Martinez G. 21. Horta R. (C) 18. Victor P. 39. Navarro F.
40. Ribeiro R. (C) 30. Luan Patrick 4. Lekovic S. 83. Otavio 17. Encada J. 19. Moreira P. 39. Doue G. 24. Langa B. 99. Marcus A. 20. van Hooijdonk S. 10. Stoica I.
Substitutes
78. Carvalho J. (G) 41. da Rocha Y. 9. El Ouazzani A. 92. Gil A. 29. Gorby 5. Lelo L. 53. Noro J. 96. Sousa A. 80. Vasconcelos
7. Antonetti L. 14. Bernardo Schappo 6. Jansson K. 11. Jovane 18. Meireles J. 28. Moustier T. 1. Pinto D. (G) 8. Robinho 21. Scholze M.
Coaches
Vicens C.
Bacci C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Lekovic S. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽,
37', Moutinho J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinez G. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
55', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
61', Luan Patrick 🟨,
68', Horta R. ↓, Gorby ↑,
68', Doue G. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
68', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Robinho ↑,
68', Stoica I. ↓, Jovane ↑,
78', Moreira P. ↓, Jansson K. ↑,
80', Hornicek L. ↓, Carvalho J. ↑,
80', Luisinho ↓, Gil A. ↑,
85', Oliveira P. ↓, Noro J. ↑,
87', Marcus A. 🟨,
87', Lekovic S. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Victor P. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Marcus A. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Lekovic S. ⚽, Jovane (A),
90+7', Lekovic S. 🟨,
Preview
Braga is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 3.
Braga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Estrela is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Braga is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B.
(Injury)
Barisic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Grillitsch F.
(Injury)
Niakate S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodrigues D.
(Ankle Injury)
Vitor Carvalho
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Estrela: Rodrigo Pinho
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Braga: Horta R.
(Injury)
Lelo L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Estrela: Drame I.
(Injury)
Gbomadu M.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Braga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
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Hornicek L. (G) 
Lagerbielke G. 
Oliveira P. 
Gabriel Moscardo 
Gomez V. 
Lekovic S. 
Encada J. 
Doue G. 
Langa B. 
Marcus A. 
van Hooijdonk S. 
Stoica I. 
El Ouazzani A. 
Gorby 
Antonetti L. 
Jovane 
Scholze M. 
Bacci C. 
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