Match Info

Primera C - Round 20

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estrella del Sur		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.80	2.38
	2.63	2.74	2.91
	2.65	2.7	2.9	Watch
	2.50	2.60	2.85
	2.81	2.81	2.81
	2.65	2.60	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.12)	2.71 ↓ (2.88)	2.77 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella del Sur
33.7%

Draw
33.5%

Club Luján
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella del Sur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrella del Sur's form might have worsened.

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club Luján's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrella del Sur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club Luján, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Estrella del Sur - Club Luján Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Club Luján will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
88', 0 - 1, Coronel L. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+6', 0 - 2, Ferrari T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Estrella del Sur have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Club Luján is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Estrella del Sur will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estrella del Sur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Estrella del Sur won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Club Luján - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.01%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella del Sur de Alejandro Korn
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.26	Mercedes - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Estrella del Sur - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Puerto Nuevo - Estrella del Sur	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Estrella del Sur - Leandro N. Alem	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Estrella del Sur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLWW
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	Club Luján - Central Ballester	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	El Porvenir - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Club Luján - Fénix	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
22.03.26	Club Luján - Estrella del Sur	0:1
19.07.25	Club Luján - Estrella del Sur	0:0
06.04.25	Estrella del Sur - Club Luján	0:0

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