Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	AFA Play, ESPN, ESPN Premium
Bolivia	18:00	ESPN 5, ESPN
Chile	19:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Ecuador	17:00	ESPN 5
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
Paraguay	19:00	ESPN 5
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Estudiantes La Plata		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.60	5.50
	1.7	3.4	5.9	Watch
	1.73	3.6	5.85
	1.7	3.65	5.2	Watch
	1.66	3.35	5.75
	1.73	3.45	5.83	Watch
	1.71	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.49 ↓ (3.51)	5.62 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
56%

Draw
27.1%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.7%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

27.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Estudiantes La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Estudiantes La Plata will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. (C) 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 13. Benedetti G. 21. Piovi L. 31. Rodriguez B. 17. Burgos J. 34. Monsalve M. 18. Cetre E. 19. Gaich A.	23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 3. Recalde M. 28. O'Connor T. 21. Antonini F. 8. Vargas M. 30. Fernandez E. 26. Lencioni F. 9. Modica A.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 53. Alcaraz L. 15. Arzamendia S. 12. Borzone R. (G) 9. Carrillo G. 26. Funes Mori R. 52. Kociubinski B. 36. Pereyra J. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J.	33. Andrada B. 27. Armoa B. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 22. Franco J. 16. Guiffrey G. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 11. Rodriguez S. 10. Romano N. 15. Sanchez U. 35. Simoni V.
Coaches
Medina A.	Franco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Piovi L. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
41', O'Connor T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', O'Connor T. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
52', Paredes L. 🟨,
66', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
68', Monsalve M. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
68', Gaich A. ↓, Carrillo G. ↑,
74', Vargas M. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
74', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
80', Mondino D. 🟨,
83', Modica A. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Cetre E. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Kociubinski B. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
89', Burgos J. ↓, Arzamendia S. ↑,
90', Fernandez E. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Perez Fabricio ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, Perez Fabricio ⚽, Benedetti G. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Estudiantes may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Estudiantes for this game.

Confirmed absences for Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Neves (Arm Injury) Palacios T. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Gimnasia Mendoza: Antonini F. (Inactive) Cingolani L. (Yellow Cards) Gonzales (Injury) Lencioni F. (Inactive) O'Connor T. (Inactive) Patritti G. (Inactive) Saavedra F. (Knee Injury) Sabatini I. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Estudiantes: Elias J. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Estudiantes has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Gimnasia Mendoza: 1.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Estudiantes La Plata - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.91%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Copa Argentina
01.10.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Argentinian International Super Cup
26.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Rosario Central	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.09.26	Lanús - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Defensa y Justicia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Independiente - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2

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