Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Russia	Okko Prime
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Estudiantes La Plata		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.60	3.90	Watch
	2.35	2.60	3.80
	2.38	2.60	3.75	Watch
	2.42	2.73	4.01
	2.41	2.6	4.04	Watch
	2.35	2.60	3.95
	2.33	2.61	4.17	Watch
	2.50	2.70	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)	2.63 ↓ (2.98)	3.93 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
39.7%

Draw
36.1%

Corinthians
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 13. Benedetti G. 21. Piovi L. 22. Castro A. 31. Rodriguez B. 32. Correa J. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. (C)	1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 29. Allan 19. Carrillo A. 37. Kaio Cesar 8. Garro R. (C) 7. Breno Bidon 10. Depay M.
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 18. Cetre E. 39. Elias J. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 52. Kociubinski B. 20. Meza E. 34. Monsalve M. 29. Perez Fabricio 35. Pierani V. 7. Sosa J.	63. Alex Santana 26. Angileri F. 35. Charles Rigon 61. Dieguinho 56. Gui Negao 4. Joao Pedro 51. Kaue (G) 77. Lingard J. 55. Machado I. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M.
Coaches
Medina A.	Diniz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Castro A. ⚽, Mancuso E. (A),
6', Angileri F. 🟨,
10', Kaio Cesar 🟨,
28', Carrillo G. 🟨,
28', Breno Bidon 🟨,
32', Benedetti G. 🟨,
33', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Kaio Cesar ⚽, Garro R. (A),
61', Rodriguez B. ↓, Perez Fabricio ↑,
71', Carrillo A. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
79', Benedetti G. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
86', Burgos J. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
86', Piovi L. ↓, Elias J. ↑,
86', Mancuso E. 🟨,
87', Garro R. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
90', Depay M. ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Estudiantes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Corinthians is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Corinthians has had a series of home games.

Estudiantes might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Palacios T. (Injury) Pereyra J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Corinthians: Andre (Muscle Injury) Andre Ramalho (Inactive) Kayke (Knee Injury) Labyad Z. (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Knee Injury) Yuri Alberto (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Estudiantes L.P.: 5.48% Corinthians: 4.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.09.26	Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Barracas Central	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Universidad Católica - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
06.09.26	Corinthians - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Corinthians - Santos	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Coritiba - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	Corinthians - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.08.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians	1:1 penalties
22.08.23	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0

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