Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Estudiantes La Plata		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	7	Watch
	1.61	3.3	6.75
	1.62	3.35	6.8	Watch
	1.67	3.25	7.9
	1.6	3.36	7.65	Watch
	1.57	3.3	7
	1.6	3.62	7.18	Watch
	1.63	3.1	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.48)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	7.29 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
58.8%

Draw
28.2%

Sarmiento de Junín
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

26%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Sarmiento (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Estudiantes (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 22. Castro A. 21. Piovi L. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J. (C) 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G.	1. Burrai J. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 19. Contrera J. 25. Villalba C. 15. Zabala C. 8. Salle S. 27. Marabel J. 9. Diego Churin
Substitutes
28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 32. Amondarain M. 18. Cetre E. 39. Cornejo L. 11. Farias F. 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 10. Palacios T. 2. Rodriguez F.	26. Arismendi Y. 6. Arturia G. 12. Ayala T. (G) 33. Diaz G. 5. Garcia M. 11. Gomez J. 32. Gonzalez A. 40. Marquez B. 14. Martinez M. 10. Renteria J. 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Sava F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
24', Villalba C. 🟨,
32', Sosa J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
37', Suarez L. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Castro A. ⚽,
55', Palacios T. 🟨,
56', Zabala C. 🟨,
68', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
68', Burgos J. ↓, Amondarain M. ↑,
69', Villalba C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
69', Diego Churin ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
75', Castro A. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
76', Perez Fabricio ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
80', Burrai J. 🟨,
82', Zabala C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
82', Salle S. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,
86', Piovi L. 🟨,
88', Muslera F. 🟨,
90+4', Arismendi Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.

Estudiantes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarmiento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Estudiantes is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Gabriel Neves (Injury)

There are questionable in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTWT
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.02.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Banfield	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.06.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.03.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1
23.10.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
14.06.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1
16.07.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes La Plata	0:3
11.09.16	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0

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