Match Info

Date: 5 November 2020, Thursday


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2	3.4	3.3
	1.92	3.45	3.45	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.45
	2.01	3.86	3.46
	2.05	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2	3.52	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.01)	3.46 ↑ (3.27)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
46.9%

Draw
26.7%

Coquimbo Unido
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

19.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Mérida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coquimbo Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estudiantes de Mérida - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Estudiantes de Mérida is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Coquimbo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes de Mérida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Coquimbo have a series of home games.

Estudiantes de Mérida will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.11.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Mineros de Guayana - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.10.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLT
- Coquimbo Unido
Chilean Primera Division
01.11.20	Coquimbo Unido - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Concepción	0:2 ✺
14.10.20	Cobresal - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
09.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:0

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