Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida)


	Estudiantes de Mérida		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.5	1.65	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.63
	5.6	3.7	1.63
	5.93	3.54	1.67
	5.5	3.3	1.62
	5.7	3.64	1.64	Watch
	5.6	3.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (5.1)	3.54 ↓ (3.65)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
16.3%

Draw
26.5%

San Lorenzo
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

25.5%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

25.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Estudiantes de Mérida - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: San Lorenzo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Estudiantes de Mérida is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes de Mérida could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Monagas - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Rayo Zuliano	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.03.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.03.23	Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WTLWW
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	San Lorenzo - Independiente	0:0 ✺
20.03.23	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
15.03.23	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.03.23	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia La Plata	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWWT

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