Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Ethiopian Medhin		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.80	3.00
	2.52	2.78	2.78
	2.79	2.84	2.66
	3.51	2.79	2.29	Watch
	2.69	2.79	2.61
	2.55	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (1.98)	2.79 ↓ (3.14)	2.68 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
33.4%

Draw
32.6%

Shire Endaselassie
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.

Shire Endaselassie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shire Endaselassie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shire Endaselassie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ethiopian Medhin - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Tesfaye A. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Darge D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17).

Recent form of Ethiopian Medhin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sihul Shire has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethiopian Medhin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of away games.

Ethiopian Medhin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ethiopian Medhin won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ethiopian Medhin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ethiopian Insurance	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Shire Endaselassie - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 25.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
21.06.26	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
26.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	3:2 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
19.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTT
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
22.06.26	Shire Endaselassie - Saint George	0:0 ✺
15.06.26	Arba Minch - Shire Endaselassie	2:0 ✺
29.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Shire Endaselassie	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
30.01.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0
26.06.25	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopian Medhin	0:3
06.01.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Shire Endaselassie	3:1

Ethiopian Medhin - Shire Endaselassie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide