Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	21:00	Arena 4
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	FOX One
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	01:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 3
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
International	20:00	Sport 24


	Everton		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	6.25	4	1.55
	6	3.8	1.6
	6.3	4.1	1.58
	6.5	3.97	1.58
	6.17	4.14	1.59	Watch
	5.75	3.9	1.57
	5.79	4.12	1.67	Watch
	6.33	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.14 ↑ (4.79)	4 ↑ (3.74)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
15.6%

Draw
23.9%

Arsenal
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.9%

25.4%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

26.5%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	12.1%	75.8%

Everton - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 8 - 12.1%). Arsenal will win (votes: 50 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 65.5% – 86.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Arsenal (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Everton (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Arsenal (votes: 28 - 82.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 7. McNeil D. 24. Alcaraz C. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.	1. Raya D. (G) 12. Timber J. 2. Saliba W. 5. Hincapie P. 33. Calafiori R. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 36. Zubimendi M. 41. Rice D. 7. Saka B. 14. Gyökeres V. 19. Trossard L.
Substitutes
39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 73. Campbell E. 20. Dibling T. 31. King T. (G) 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G) 64. Welch R.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 10. Eze E. 9. Gabriel Jesus 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 20. Madueke N. 11. Martinelli G. 23. Merino M. 16. Norgaard C. 22. Nwaneri E.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Mykolenko V. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Gyökeres V. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Tarkowski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Gyökeres V. 🟨,
65', Gyökeres V. ↓, Gabriel Jesus ↑,
66', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
75', McNeil D. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
76', Alcaraz C. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
80', Trossard L. ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
88', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
89', Martinelli G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 0.

Everton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Everton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arsenal is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (International duty) Ndiaye I. (International duty) Rohl M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Arsenal: Dowman M. (Ankle Injury) Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Mosquera C. (Ankle Injury) White B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Dewsbury-Hall K. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
13.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Everton - Newcastle United	1:4 ✺
24.11.25	Manchester United - Everton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWLW
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
13.12.25	Arsenal - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Club Brugge - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.25	Aston Villa - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Arsenal - Brentford	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Chelsea - Arsenal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.04.25	Everton - Arsenal	1:1
14.12.24	Arsenal - Everton	0:0
19.05.24	Arsenal - Everton	2:1
17.09.23	Everton - Arsenal	0:1
01.03.23	Arsenal - Everton	4:0
04.02.23	Everton - Arsenal	1:0
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Arsenal - Everton	2:0

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