Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 4
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+


	Everton		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.9
	2.08	3.35	3.8
	2.14	3.37	3.85
	2.09	3.35	3.71	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.09	3.32	3.98	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.08)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)	3.81 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
45.8%

Draw
29.1%

Nottingham Forest
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.3%	22.2%	17.5%

Everton - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 37 - 62.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 11 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 50.4% – 75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Nottingham (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Nottingham (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 17 - 58.6%). Nottingham (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 5. Keane M. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Ndiaye I. 24. Alcaraz C. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.	26. Sels M. (G) 37. Savona N. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 14. Ndoye D. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 73. Campbell E. 20. Dibling T. 31. King T. (G) 7. McNeil D. 2. Patterson N. 12. Travers M. (G)	44. Abbott Z. 30. Boly W. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 13. John Victor (G) 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Savona N. 🟨,
2', 1 - 0, Milenkovic N. (Own goal),
45+3', 2 - 0, Barry T. ⚽, Ndiaye I. (A),
45+3', Morato 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sangare I. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
46', Savona N. ↓, Abbott Z. ↑,
46', Ndoye D. ↓, Hudson-Odoi C. ↑,
54', Milenkovic N. 🟨,
57', Barry T. 🟨,
62', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
62', Yates R. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
73', Tarkowski J. 🟨,
73', Alcaraz C. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽, O'Brien J. (A),
84', Mykolenko V. 🟨,
85', Grealish J. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
90+3', O'Brien J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Everton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (Red Card) Iroegbunam T. (Yellow Cards) Patterson N. (Ankle Injury) Rohl M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Awoniyi T. (Muscle Injury) Bakwa D. (Hamstring Injury) Douglas Luiz (Thigh Injury) Gunn A. (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Zinchenko O. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Keane M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Illness)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Everton - Newcastle United	1:4 ✺
24.11.25	Manchester United - Everton	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Everton - Fulham	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Sunderland - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLWWT
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
03.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Malmö	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
12.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:1
29.12.24	Everton - Nottingham Forest	0:2
21.04.24	Everton - Nottingham Forest	2:0
02.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:1
05.03.23	Nottingham Forest - Everton	2:2
20.08.22	Everton - Nottingham Forest	1:1

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