Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Goodison Park (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	15:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	21:00	Optus Sport
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	15:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	13:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	08:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	14:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	18:00	MyTV
Canada	07:00	fubo Sports Network
Chile	07:00	Disney+
China	19:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	06:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	13:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	14:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	13:00	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	14:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	13:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	15:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	14:00	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	19:00	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	13:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	11:00	Siminn Sport
India	16:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports 1, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	18:00	Vidio
Israel	14:00	Sport 1
Italy	13:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	20:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	14:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	19:00	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3
Maldives	16:00	Medianet
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	05:00	Tubi TV
Moldova	14:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:00	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	12:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	13:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	06:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	13:00	Viaplay
Portugal	12:00	DAZN 1
Romania	14:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	14:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	13:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Singapore	19:00	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	13:00	Voyo
Slovenia	13:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	13:00	SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
South Korea	20:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	13:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	16:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	18:00	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	16:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	14:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	12:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	08:00	Disney+
Usa	07:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, USA Network
Uzbekistan	16:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	07:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	18:00	ON Football, ON Plus


	Everton		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7
	1.42	4.75	7.25
	1.43	4.85	8	Watch
	1.44	4.9	7.7
	1.43	4.83	7.76	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.46	4.87	7.18	Watch
	1.43	4.85	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	4.79 ↓ (4.82)	7.49 ↓ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
67.2%

Draw
20%

Southampton
12.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.1%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

14.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Everton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.9%	19.6%	6.5%

Everton - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 3 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 64.1% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Everton (3.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Everton will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 23. Coleman S. (C) 15. O'Brien J. 32. Branthwaite J. 19. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 10. Ndiaye I. 16. Doucoure A. 7. McNeil D. 14. Beto	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 5. Stephens J. (C) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 15. Wood N. 14. Bree J. 4. Downes F. 7. Aribo J. 34. Welington 33. Dibling T. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Sulemana K.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 17. Chermiti 11. Harrison J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 5. Keane M. 2. Patterson N. 12. Virginia J. (G) 18. Young A.	19. Archer C. 39. Kayi Sanda J. 3. Manning R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 46. Robinson J. 8. Smallbone W. 11. Stewart R. 16. Sugawara Y. 26. Ugochukwu L.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Rusk S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ndiaye I. ⚽,
18', Coleman S. ↓, Young A. ↑,
45+2', 2 - 0, Ndiaye I. ⚽, McNeil D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Aribo J. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
60', Wood N. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
60', Sulemana K. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
65', McNeil D. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
65', Doucoure A. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
68', Dibling T. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
74', Branthwaite J. ↓, Keane M. ↑,
75', Ndiaye I. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
80', Downes F. 🟨,
82', Harwood-Bellis T. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
88', Garner J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

S`hampton is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

Everton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

S`hampton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Everton is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Everton: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Tarkowski J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Fraser R. (Injury) Gronbaek A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Taylor C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Walker-Peters K. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
10.05.25	Fulham - Everton	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	Everton - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Chelsea - Everton	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Everton - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTLLW
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
10.05.25	Southampton - Manchester City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Leicester City - Southampton	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Southampton - Fulham	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	West Ham United - Southampton	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Southampton - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.11.24	Southampton - Everton	1:0
English League Cup
17.09.24	Everton - Southampton	1:2 penalties
English Premier League
14.01.23	Everton - Southampton	1:2
01.10.22	Southampton - Everton	1:2
19.02.22	Southampton - Everton	2:0
14.08.21	Everton - Southampton	3:1
01.03.21	Everton - Southampton	1:0

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