Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Everton

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.1
	1.92	3.45	4.35
	1.97	3.42	4.06	Watch
	2	3.1	4
	2.04	3.4	4.32	Watch
	2	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.3)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	4.14 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
48.4%

Draw
28.5%

Everton
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Everton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Everton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	30.9%	16.2%

Nottingham Forest - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 36 - 54.5%). Everton will win (votes: 11 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 28.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 42.5% – 66.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Everton (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Everton (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Everton (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Nottingham (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 16 - 53.3%). Everton (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. John Victor (G) 3. Williams N. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 35. Zinchenko O. 16. Dominguez N. 8. Anderson E. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 19. Igor Jesus	1. Pickford J. (G) 2. Patterson N. 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 16. Mykolenko V. 42. Iroegbunam T. 37. Garner J. 20. Dibling T. 34. Rohl M. 7. McNeil D. 11. Barry T.
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 29. Bakwa D. 12. Douglas Luiz 15. Kalimuendo A. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 37. Savona N. 26. Sels M. (G)	39. Aznou A. 92. Bates C. 9. Beto 73. Campbell E. 58. Graham B. 18. Grealish J. 31. King T. (G) 12. Travers M. (G) 64. Welch R.
Coaches
Dyche S.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Garner J. ⚽, McNeil D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dominguez N. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
61', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
62', Igor Jesus ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
72', Patterson N. ↓, Grealish J. ↑,
75', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Barry T. ⚽, Garner J. (A),
85', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nottingham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Boly W. (International duty) Ndoye D. (Injury) Sangare I. (International duty) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Yates R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Coleman S. (Hamstring Injury) Dewsbury-Hall K. (Hamstring Injury) Gueye I. (International duty) Ndiaye I. (International duty)

There are questionable in Everton: Grealish J. (Illness)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Nottingham Forest - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.96%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
27.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Utrecht - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
06.12.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Everton
English Premier League
27.12.25	Burnley - Everton	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Everton - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
06.12.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	3:0
12.04.25	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:1
29.12.24	Everton - Nottingham Forest	0:2
21.04.24	Everton - Nottingham Forest	2:0
02.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Everton	0:1
05.03.23	Nottingham Forest - Everton	2:2
20.08.22	Everton - Nottingham Forest	1:1

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