The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excursionistas 67.6%
Draw 21.9%
Ituzaingó 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
23%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
21.8%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Excursionistas - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 8. Avalos A. 7. Damiolini N. 10. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Ledesma D. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 3. Rodriguez G. 5. Zoratti G.
1. Barraza L. (G) 8. Campusano M. 5. Desposito P. 11. Fanti J. 9. Gras S. 6. Mantovani E. (C) 2. Martinez J. 7. Maza J. 10. Mena L. 3. Politano A. 4. Regules I.
Substitutes
20. Blanco M. 12. Blengio M. (G) 17. Cardozo M. 15. Chambi L. 19. Gimenez W. 16. Lopez M. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 18. Scaramuzzi E.
12. Almiron A. (G) 16. Barea T. 17. Luppino F. 18. Mariani B. 20. Miranda A. 19. Odunukwe J. 13. Politano R. 15. Salvadores J. 14. Sotelo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Mantovani E. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Maza J. ⚽,
43', Campusano M. ↓, Salvadores J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Alaniz M. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
51', Espeche A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Chambi L. ⚽,
55', Damiolini N. ↓, Blanco M. ↑,
61', Pedrosa G. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 2 - 1, Pedrosa G. ⚽,
65', Polvera M. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
65', Avalos A. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
70', Fanti J. 🟨,
70', Fanti J. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
70', Gras S. ↓, Odunukwe J. ↑,
81', Maza J. ↓, Barea T. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1.
Excursionistas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ituzaingó is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Excursionistas is the clear favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).
Watch
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Rodriguez N. (G) 
Gimenez W. 
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