The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 32.2%
Draw 27.3%
Barnsley 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
26.7%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
26.3%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
7.7%
76.9%
Exeter City - Barnsley Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Barnsley will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 2. McMillan J. 10. Aitchison J. 19. Cox S. 9. Wareham J.
1. Cooper M. (G) 30. Bland J. 4. Roberts M. 5. Shepherd J. 27. Watson T. 8. Phillips A. 48. Connell L. (C) 23. Farrugia N. 22. Kelly P. 19. Cleary R. 40. Keillor-Dunn D.
Substitutes
23. Bycroft J. (G) 12. Cole R. 17. Higgins A. 29. McDonald K. 7. Mendes C. 34. Oakes L. 16. Swinkels S.
6. de Gevigney M. 39. Farrell L. 51. Flavell K. (G) 11. Jalo F. 3. Russell J. 7. Vickers C. 45. Yoganathan V.
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Hourihane C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Niskanen I. ⚽, Brierley E. (A),
45+2', Sweeney P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Kelly P. 🟨,
58', Farrugia N. ↓, Jalo F. ↑,
59', Cox S. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Wareham J. ⚽, Woodhouse L. (A),
62', Bland J. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Cole R. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
76', Kelly P. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
77', Phillips A. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
77', Keillor-Dunn D. 🟨,
84', Aitchison J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
84', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
90+2', Wareham J. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
90+2', Brierley E. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
Barnsley might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Barnsley: Ogbeta N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Barnsley: Gent G.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Exeter City - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Whitworth J. (G) 
Sweeney P. (C) 
Niskanen I. 
McMillan J. 
Bland J. 
Kelly P. 
Mendes C. 
Swinkels S. 
de Gevigney M. 
Jalo F. 
Russell J. 
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