Match Info

League One - Round 46

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	beIN Connect
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Singapore	mio Sports 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Exeter City		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.35	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.32	3.74	2.09
	3.25	3.44	2.13	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.05
	3.3	3.55	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.18)	3.53 ↑ (3.46)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
28.4%

Draw
26.5%

Bradford City
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.2%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Exeter City - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bradford will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Exeter (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bycroft J. (G) 34. Oakes L. 40. James E. 26. Sweeney P. (C) 21. Andrew D. 45. Cummins C. 2. McMillan J. 14. Niskanen I. 12. Cole R. 7. Mendes C. 9. Wareham J.	1. Walker S. (G) 4. Wright J. 15. Baldwin A. 26. Tilt C. 7. Neufville J. 21. Metcalfe J. 6. Power M. (C) 3. Touray I. 32. Lapslie G. 10. Sarcevic A. 19. Jackson K.
Substitutes
10. Aitchison J. 5. Fitzwater J. 27. Magennis J. 29. McDonald K. 3. Rydel R. 28. Tuterov T. 20. Woodhouse L.	33. Ashby H. 25. Hilton J. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 18. Kelly C. 28. Pennington M. 22. Powell N. 24. Swan W.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', James E. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Jackson K. ⚽, Lapslie G. (A),
43', Andrew D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Andrew D. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
46', Oakes L. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
51', Power M. 🟨,
60', Mendes C. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
68', Cummins C. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
68', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
73', Jackson K. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Sarcevic A. ⚽,
83', Neufville J. ↓, Pennington M. ↑,
86', Rydel R. 🟨,
89', Sarcevic A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Magennis J. ⚽, Rydel R. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bradford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bradford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Doyle-Hayes J. (Injury) Fitzwater J. (Inactive) Turns E. (Inactive) Whitworth J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Pointon B. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Outrights of English League One for now

Bradford City: 8.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bradford City	8	5	1	2	8:5	3	16

Last Results with these Odds

Exeter City - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.64%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Bradford City - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
25.04.26	Burton Albion - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Exeter City - Stockport County	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Exeter City - Doncaster Rovers	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Blackpool - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTTWL
- Bradford City
English League One
25.04.26	Bradford City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Bradford City - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Barnsley - Bradford City	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bradford City - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.11.25	Bradford City - Exeter City	1:0
English League Two
12.02.22	Bradford City - Exeter City	0:1
English FA Cup
30.11.21	Exeter City - Bradford City	2:1
16.11.21	Exeter City - Bradford City	3:0 ET
06.11.21	Bradford City - Exeter City	1:1
English League Two
07.08.21	Exeter City - Bradford City	0:0
06.02.21	Exeter City - Bradford City	3:2

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