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Current Win Probability
Bradford City 36.3%
Draw 28.9%
Plymouth Argyle 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
26.5%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
27.4%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford City's form might have worsened.
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bradford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
15.4%
53.8%
Bradford City - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Bradford will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Plymouth will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 26.7% – 80.9%.
1. Walker S. (G) 4. Wright J. 15. Baldwin A. 26. Tilt C. 7. Neufville J. 6. Power M. (C) 21. Metcalfe J. 3. Touray I. 32. Lapslie G. 19. Jackson K. 11. Humphrys S.
1. Hazard C. (G) 45. Harding W. 2. Ross M. (C) 15. Mitchell A. 22. Galloway B. 4. Wiredu B. 28. Curtis R. 19. Boateng M. 27. Pepple A. 35. Dale O. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
33. Ashby H. 8. Evans L. 25. Hilton J. (G) 28. Pennington M. 22. Powell N. 24. Swan W. 27. Wheatley E.
10. Amaechi X. 21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 18. Oseni O. 7. Paterson J. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 17. Watts C.
Coaches
Alexander G.
Cleverley T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Wiredu B. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
25', Mitchell A. 🟨,
29', Galloway B. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
36', Boateng M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Dale O. 🟨,
61', Wiredu B. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
63', Neufville J. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
63', Metcalfe J. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Swan W. ⚽,
74', Sorinola M. 🟨,
80', Dale O. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
84', Pepple A. 🟨,
90+1', Humphrys S. ↓, Pennington M. ↑,
90+4', Lapslie G. 🟨,
Preview
Postponed due to international match.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 2.
In recent matches, Bradford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Plymouth is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Bradford might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Bradford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Outrights of English League One for now
Plymouth: 10.74% Bradford City: 8.09%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Plymouth
10
6
1
3
18:12
6
19
2
Bradford City
9
5
2
2
8:5
3
17
Last Results with these Odds
Bradford City - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.74%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Walker S. (G) 
Tilt C. 
Touray I. 
Hazard C. (G) 
Ross M. (C) 
Galloway B. 
Curtis R. 
Pepple A. 
Tolaj L. 
Ashby H. 
Evans L. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
Watts C. 
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