The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 24.8%
Draw 27.7%
Stevenage Borough 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
29%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
27.7%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
10%
60%
Colchester United - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Stevenage will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 38.5% – 81.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Colchester has the most likely position - 22 (9.53%), has project points - 50, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 2 (12.33%), has project points - 79, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has small quality11, importance40, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
Colchester is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Stevenage is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Stevenage will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Colchester won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-9.
Watch
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