Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	4.5	3	2
	4.1	3	2
	4.35	3.1	2
	4.1	2.95	2.01
	4.56	3.13	2.02
	4.2	3.1	1.95
	4.33	3.18	2.04	Watch
	4.3	3.1	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.58)	3.07 ↓ (3.43)	2 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
21.9%

Draw
30.8%

Ipswich Town
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

26.6%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Port Vale - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Ipswich will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Port Vale has the most likely position - 17 (8.1%), has project points - 55, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (26.64%), has project points - 91, has currently - 33, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (27%).

This event has small quality 23, importance 41, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Port Vale is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ipswich is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ipswich is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
22.10.22	Cambridge United - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Port Vale - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Port Vale - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
08.10.22	Derby County - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Port Vale - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTWL
- Ipswich Town
English League One
21.10.22	Ipswich Town - Derby County	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Cambridge United - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Morecambe - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
04.10.22	Ipswich Town - Cambridge United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW

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