Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Exeter City		Salford City

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2
	1.9	3.3	4.1
	1.85	3.4	4.25
	1.91	3.25	4
	1.95	3.35	4.45
	1.9	3.4	4
	1.96	3.6	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)	3.39 ↑ (3.28)	4.18 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
49.5%

Draw
27.9%

Salford City
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

19.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Exeter City - Salford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 11).

Exeter has the most likely position - 2 (26.55%), has project points - 79, has currently - 57, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a good chance of promoted (56%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Salford has the most likely position - 10 (14.05%), has project points - 70, has currently - 48, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 14, importance 61, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Salford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Exeter is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League Two
08.03.22	Exeter City - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
04.03.22	Mansfield Town - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
15.02.22	Exeter City - Harrogate Town	4:3 ✺
12.02.22	Bradford City - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTWW
- Salford City
English League Two
05.03.22	Salford City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Swindon Town - Salford City	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Leyton Orient - Salford City	0:2 ✺
08.02.22	Sutton United - Salford City	0:0 ✺
01.02.22	Salford City - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.10.21	Salford City - Exeter City	1:2
27.03.21	Exeter City - Salford City	1:0
12.09.20	Salford City - Exeter City	2:2
14.12.19	Salford City - Exeter City	0:1

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