The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 53.5%
Draw 26%
Salford City 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28.9%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
28.1%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leyton Orient's performance.
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
18.7%
18.7%
Leyton Orient - Salford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Salford will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 38.8% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
Leyton Orient has the most likely position - 1 (36.01%), has project points - 88, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a good chance of promoted (72%), has a chance of win league (36%).
Salford has the most likely position - 2 (14.84%), has project points - 80, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a good chance of promoted (51%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
This event has small quality18, importance69, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Leyton Orient will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
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