Match Info

League One - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.25
	1.43	4.45	6.9	Watch
	1.45	4.72	7.29
	1.17	6.42	16.63	Watch
	1.5	4.57	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)	4.93 ↑ (4.25)	8.68 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
69.2%

Draw
19.6%

Exeter City
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

21.6%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stockport County's performance.

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Stockport County - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Olowu J. 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 24. Onyango T. 27. Bailey O. 26. Norwood O. (C) 23. Osborn B. 9. Lowe N. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K.	1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 4. Turns E. 14. Niskanen I. 2. McMillan J. 6. Brierley E. 21. Andrew D. 12. Cole R. 9. Wareham J. 27. Magennis J.
Substitutes
34. Addai C. (G) 65. Astles J. 8. Camps C. 10. Fevrier J. 18. Fiorini L. 21. Moxon O. 2. O'Keeffe C.	10. Aitchison J. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 8. Francis E. 17. Higgins A. 29. McDonald K. 37. Wilson K. 20. Woodhouse L.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Caldwell G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Cole R. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Lowe N. ⚽, Norwood O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sweeney P. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
60', Wareham J. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
60', Cole R. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
66', Lowe N. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
69', Norwood O. 🟨,
86', Brierley E. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
86', Bailey O. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
86', Diamond J. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
87', Higgins A. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).

Stockport is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Exeter is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stockport is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Stockport: Andresson B. (International duty) Dodgson O. (Injury) Edun T. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Cox S. (Groin Injury) Magennis J. (International duty) Mendes C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Bate L. (Knee Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Exeter: Rydel R. (Injury) Swinkels S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
11.10.25	Stockport County - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Salford City - Stockport County	3:1 ✺
English League One
04.10.25	Huddersfield Town - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Stockport County - Reading	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Rotherham United - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWTW
- Exeter City
English League One
11.10.25	Exeter City - Reading	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Lincoln City - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Exeter City - Huddersfield Town	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
16.09.25	Exeter City - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
05.04.25	Exeter City - Stockport County	0:2
07.12.24	Stockport County - Exeter City	2:0

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