Match Info

Date: 26 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Hinestroza Romana J. A. (Col)


	FBC Melgar		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7
	1.42	4.75	6.75
	1.37	4.7	7
	1.39	4.5	6.4
	1.41	5.02	7.09
	1.36	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	4.67 ↑ (3.75)	6.99 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
66.8%

Draw
19.9%

Cuiabá
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FBC Melgar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.4%	6.3%	68.3%

FBC Melgar - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 16 - 25.4%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 43 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 56.8% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Melgar is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cuiabá is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Melgar have a series of guest games.

In this match Melgar is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Melgar to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
22.05.22	Ayacucho - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.05.22	Racing - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
13.05.22	FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma	3:0 ✺
08.05.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
21.05.22	Cuiabá - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.05.22	São Paulo - Cuiabá	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.05.22	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.05.22	Santos - Cuiabá	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
07.04.22	Cuiabá - FBC Melgar	2:0

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