Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	River Plate Montevideo		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	3
	2.4	3.25	2.8
	2.3	3.25	2.95
	2.35	3.1	2.85
	2.43	3.4	2.96
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.33	3.36	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.85)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	2.9 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Montevideo
39.3%

Draw
28.6%

FBC Melgar
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.1%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

34.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Montevideo's form might have worsened.

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

River Plate Montevideo - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Melgar will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

River Plate is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melgar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Melgar have a series of home games.

River Plate will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Colo-Colo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Cuiabá - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWTTW
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
30.04.22	FBC Melgar - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	FBC Melgar - Racing	3:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.04.22	Deportivo Municipal - FBC Melgar	1:3 ✺
17.04.22	FBC Melgar - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo	2:0
Copa Libertadores
18.05.17	FBC Melgar - River Plate Montevideo	2:3
13.04.17	River Plate Montevideo - FBC Melgar	4:2

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