Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 19

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)


	FBC Melgar		Escuela Municipal Binacional

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.37	4.75	7.5
	1.41	4.78	6.92
	1.36	4.4	7
	1.4	4.95	7.1	Watch
	1.39	4.7	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.65 ↑ (4.1)	6.98 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
66.7%

Draw
20%

Escuela Municipal Binacional
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

23.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

FBC Melgar - Escuela Municipal Binacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Binacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Cabezudo J. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 2. Galeano L. 17. Archimbaud J. 4. Ramos E. 24. Tandazo W. 3. Orzan H. 11. D'Arrigo J. 26. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 22. Aguinaga A. 9. Cuesta B.	1. Enriquez D. (G) 15. Villalta B. 5. Murillo Y. 14. Quina M. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. 16. Villamarin R. 4. Romero A. 17. Palacios B. 7. Aubert E. (C) 10. Polar A. 9. Fernandez B.
Substitutes
28. Arias A. 14. Cavero S. 1. Farro R. (G) 29. Ibanez P. 16. Iberico L. 33. Lazo M. 35. Magnin P. 19. Reyna P. 20. Vasquez A.	21. Azurin A. (G) 27. Cirilo J. 20. Crespo H. 18. Nunez O. 24. Revilla J. 22. Vizcarra J. 19. Zeta H.
Coaches
Soso M.	Diaz J.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melgar won 4.

Melgar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Binacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Melgar is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Melgar won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Copa Libertadores
06.06.23	FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana	5:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.23	FBC Melgar - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
28.05.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	FBC Melgar - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.23	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLW
- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
03.06.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	6:1 ✺
22.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Unión Comercio	5:0 ✺
17.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sporting Cristal	0:1 ✺
12.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
29.09.22	FBC Melgar - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1
08.05.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	0:1
01.08.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	1:5
01.05.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	1:1
08.02.20	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	2:4
13.10.19	FBC Melgar - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
22.06.19	FBC Melgar - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1

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